Timeline, Smoking Guns, Additional Articles
Puerto Rico, Colorado, Maryland, Minnesota, New Jersey, Oakland/San Francisco,
How climate scientists feel about seeing their dire predictions come true
August 18, 2023
Comments of many climate scientists on the impact of climate change on
recent regional weather events.
Extreme heat in North America, Europe and China in July 2023 made much
more likely by climate change
July 25, 2023
F. Otto, et al
This paper could not be more timely. It addresses the extreme heat events
that are occurring right now (as in July 2023) and concludes that they
would have been virtually impossible without human-caused climate change,
and more specifically, fossil fuel emissions.
The 15 hottest days, in the world's hottest month
July 19, 2023
A Freedman (AXIOS)
By the end of the week, it is likely that 15 days just this month will
have breached an unprecedented global temperature threshold a clarion
wakeup call in the form of extreme weather.
Why a sudden surge of broken heat records is scaring scientists
July 6, 2023
A remarkable spate of historic heat is hitting the planet, raising alarm
over looming extreme weather dangers and an increasing likelihood
this year will be Earth’s warmest on record.
Climate change will accelerate the high-end risk of compound drought and
Compound drought and heatwave (CDHW) events have garnered increased attention
due to their significant impacts on agriculture, energy, water resources,
The Crises of Heat and Smoke Share a Common Thread: Climate Change
New York Times
Human-caused climate change is making high temperatures more common and
intensifying dryness that fuels catastrophic wildfires.
Climate change: UN's Guterres lambasts fossil fuel firms
Deutsche Welle (DW)
UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres sharply criticized fossil fuel companies
for reaping in massive profits while the world faces the imminent threat
of global warming.
2012-2022 Regional Climate and Health Monitoring Report – PRELIMINARY DRAFT
Regional Climate and Health Monitoring
Regional Climate and Health Monitoring Report provides data on 12 health
indicators. The indicators span six areas that climate change is known
to affect. Results from this report will help guide current adaptation
and mitigation efforts and serves as a benchmark for ongoing measurement.
This document is the second update to the Regional Climate and Health
Monitoring Report released in 2019.
The Scientific Case for Climate Liability and Loss and Damage Claims.
J.S. Mankin, C. W. Callahan
Who is responsible for the damage caused by global warming? Historically,
the Conference of Parties of the United Nations Climate Change Conference
(COP) has been an annual occasion to remind everyone of the deep intransigence
among the world’s climate polluters not just on mitigation, but
on substantive questions of compensation for the harms brought by global
warming. One reason for the lack of meaningful compromise has been the
veil of plausible deniability that major emitting countries have hid behind
when it comes to emissions and damage. All countries contribute to the
climate problem—and so, the logic goes, no one country can be blamed.
Mapped: How climate change affects extreme weather around the world.
This map graphically depicts the increase in extreme weather events across
the globe, including heatwaves, hurricanes, wildfires, and floods, the
vast majority of which caused and/or influenced by human induced climate change.
Big Oil Is Trying to Make Climate Change Your Problem to Solve. Don't Let Them.
May 14, 2021
Amy Westervelt (Rolling Stone Magazine)
A new paper from Harvard science historians Naomi Oreskes and Geoffrey
Supran shows that the framing of climate change, in particular, as something
that wouldn't be an issue if we had all just made better consumer
choices has been persistent and effective.
ExxonMobil says this study is part of a litigation strategy against it
and claims that Oreskes is on retainer for one of the law firms bringing
Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution.
F. Otto, et al
Whenever an extreme weather or climate event occurs, the question inevitably
arises whether it was caused by climate change or, more precisely, by
the influence of human activities on climate. The interpretation of this
question hinges on the meaning of the word ‘caused’: just
as in the connection between smoking and lung cancer, the influence of
anthropogenic climate change on extreme events is inherently probabilistic.
Under-reporting of greenhouse gas emissions in U.S. cities.
K. Gourney, et al
Cities dominate greenhouse gas emissions. Many have generated self-reported
emission inventories, but their value to emissions mitigation depends
on their accuracy, which remains untested. This report compares self-reported
inventories from 48 US cities to independent estimates from the Vulcan
carbon dioxide emissions data product, which is consistent with atmospheric
A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses.
F. Otto, et al
In the immediate aftermath of an extreme weather or climate event, questions
are often raised about the role of climate change, whether and to what
extent the event can be attributed to climate change, and whether the
event is a harbinger of what is to come. The field of extreme event attribution
aims to answer these questions and is witnessing a wealth of new methods
and approaches being developed. Various groups are now actively performing
thorough analyses and have produced a multitude of case studies (e.g.
Herring et al., 2018).
Drawing the Causal Chain: The Detection and Attribution of Climate Change.
M. F. Wehner
This module describes the detection of human induced climate and its attribution
to causal factors. This rigorous body of scientific literature has provided
the evidence that human activities, principally the burning of coal, oil,
and natural gas for energy, have changed climate.
US Environmental Protection Agency: Climate Change is Happening.
Topics such as the causes of climate change, the evidence for climate change,
its impacts, and what can be done to mitigate and adapt to it. It emphasizes
that climate change is largely caused by human activities, particularly
the burning of fossil fuels, and that it has widespread and severe impacts
on the environment, public health, and the economy.
Attribution of Weather and Climate Events.
Complex phenomena such as climate change have many potential causal influences.
Of principal concern today is the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide
(CO2) resulting from the burning of fossil fuels for energy. According
to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change: “It is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere,
ocean and land. Widespread and rapid changes in the atmosphere, ocean,
cryosphere and biosphere have occurred”.
Drilled: A True Crime Podcast about Climate Change
A limited series investigative true-crime podcast about the crime of the
century: the creation of climate denial.
Detection and attribution of climate extremes in the observed record.
M. Wehner, et al
This paper has provided an overview of detection and attribution as it
relates to extreme events. There is increasing interest by many sectors
of society for information about causes of extreme events, particularly
if the cause can be linked to human-induced climate change.
Answering the attribution question while the world is listening –
attribution and the media.
There is enough usable data available to allow us to understand what happened
in terms of the meteorology so we know how to define the event. and enough
historical observations to put the event in context.
Model projections of time-dependent response to increasing carbon dioxide.
The state-of-the-art of mathematical models of transient climate change
from historical and projected increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide
and related factors is reviewed, including studies done at NYU and elsewhere.
Energy Balance Models Incorporating Evaporative Buffering of Equatorial
Advance Earth and Space Sciences
We describe two non-standard energy balance models which include effects
of latent heat on climate sensitivity, and apply them to study sensitivity
to uniform variations in insolation and changes in the concentration of